2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Condo
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,324/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$326
HOA
−$381
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$-313/mo
Annual
$-3,759/yr
Cap rate
4.93%
Cash-on-cash
-4.88%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (20.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $220k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#108 in MD, #4,306 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, commute F.
Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.4% in Maryland City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-H78Z8A99D9DTBC
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29