4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$304
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$348/mo
Annual
$4,174/yr
Cap rate
11.99%
Cash-on-cash
20.36%
DSCR
1.91
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#361 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, schools B+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Morrisville-Eaton Central School District (rural): math 59% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #177 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 1.3% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H7Z4TP9FMFSV54
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29