3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,113 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Other
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,909/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$363
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$-166/mo
Annual
$-1,996/yr
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.85%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (11.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (23.7% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $191k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#202 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Bulloch County (rural): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #85 of 174 in GA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Brooklet Elementary School (math 62% / reading 50%, grade C+, #165 of 1,228 statewide, top 14%, 811 students, 35% FRL); Southeast Bulloch Middle School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #144 of 470 statewide, top 31%, 827 students, 43% FRL); Southeast Bulloch High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #110 of 424 statewide, top 28%, 1,156 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 668 units permitted in Bulloch County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bulloch County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.1% in Brooklet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H82AV64TVBG7GX
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29