3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1923
· Other
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,247/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$333
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$545/mo
Annual
$6,540/yr
Cap rate
16.59%
Cash-on-cash
36.78%
DSCR
2.64
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$17,780
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $64k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($439 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Carbon District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in UT (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bruin Point School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #474 of 585 statewide, top 83%, 97 students, 76% FRL); Mont Harmon Middle (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #72 of 138 statewide, top 53%, 601 students, 45% FRL); Carbon High (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #124 of 171 statewide, top 74%, 1,023 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H89T22E3X8DJP7
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29