3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,936 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,659/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,512
Tax + insurance
−$581
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$978
Net cashflow
$588/mo
Annual
$7,052/yr
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.26%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$134,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $479k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $466k (2.7% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($472k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $466k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#81 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Stonington School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #43 of 153 in CT (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $125k; list at $479k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H8BWCV8JF184HX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29