3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,376 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,185/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.12%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.3% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#93 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 178 in NC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Eastfield Global Magnet School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 266 students, 84% FRL); East Mcdowell Middle School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #299 of 475 statewide, top 64%, 468 students, 78% FRL); Mcdowell High School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C-, #279 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 1,416 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 175 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McDowell County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $74k; list at $200k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.2% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29