5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,464 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,261/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$1,042
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,525
Net cashflow
$2,864/mo
Annual
$34,367/yr
Cap rate
17.72%
Cash-on-cash
40.82%
DSCR
2.82
1% rule
2.08%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $955/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $339k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#475 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities B+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools C-, housing C-, crime D+.
Port Jervis City School District (rural): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #451 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $200k; list at $349k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 4.6% in Port Jervis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,261/mo this rent would consume 128% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 792% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H8K2DRDNDSFF2Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29