3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,662/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$-185/mo
Annual
$-2,224/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.31%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (13.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (30.8% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cedar Ridge Elem. (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 472 students, 43% FRL); Oakland Middle School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #342 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 544 students, 59% FRL); Muriel W. Battle High School (math 7% / reading 47%, grade F, #420 of 521 statewide, top 82%, 1,581 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H8WXKE8GP6D625
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29