3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Manufactured
· Active
· 487 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,223/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-150/mo
Annual
$-1,797/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.38%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (35.6% below list).
It's been on market 487 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 39/100 on livability (#405 in AZ) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $190k implies a 322% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 487 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H92AH77XTND4Q9
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29