1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
608 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Manufactured
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,959/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$378
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$167
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$457/mo
Annual
$5,480/yr
Cap rate
21.01%
Cash-on-cash
52.57%
DSCR
3.34
1% rule
2.72%
Cash to close
$20,160
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 900 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior siding
— There are some minor signs of wear and tear on the exterior siding.
Minor: Interior walls
— There are some minor signs of wear and tear on the interior walls.
Minor: Flooring
— There are some minor signs of wear and tear on the flooring.
Minor: Interior paint
— There are some minor signs of wear and tear on the interior paint.
Minor: Landscaping
— The landscaping is well-maintained with a few plants and trees.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H9A25TB99SPXTG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29