18 bd · 6.0 ba ·
6,530 sqft ·
Built 1967
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 177 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,321/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,916
Tax + insurance
−$609
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,537
Net cashflow
$3,258/mo
Annual
$39,101/yr
Cap rate
16.99%
Cash-on-cash
38.22%
DSCR
2.70
1% rule
2.00%
Cash to close
$102,312
Investor read
This is a 6 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $365k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $543/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $365k).
It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($322k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $322k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#742 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Centralia Hsd 200 (town): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #668 of 919 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Central City Elem School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,017 of 2,056 statewide, top 50%, 323 students, 0% FRL); Centralia High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 863 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $102k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H9G7YY97E87SNA
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29