3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,862/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$365
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$391
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-514/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.84%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-514/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (15.0% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#105 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 333 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $219k implies a 873% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H9TZTA1HTFSS78
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29