3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Condo
· Active
· 179 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$1,119
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$615
Net cashflow
$564/mo
Annual
$6,773/yr
Cap rate
13.07%
Cash-on-cash
24.21%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
2.93%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Oregon Trail SD 46 (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #12 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sandy High School (1,440 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-H9YR9QDK02J5W3
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29