111 Johnston Ave

Cohoes, NY 12047

$156,100B

7 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,554 sqft · Built 1880 · MultiFamily · Active · 396 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,063/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$819
• Tax + insurance: −$491
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,063
• Net cashflow: $2,690/mo
• Annual: $32,281/yr
• Cap rate: 26.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 73.86%
• DSCR: 4.29
• 1% rule: 3.24%
• Cash to close: $43,708

Investor read

• This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $156k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $897/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $156k).
• It's been on market 396 days — a 12% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $137k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#61 in NY, #895 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
• Cohoes City School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #487 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $109k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 4.7% in Cohoes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $5,063/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1395% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 396 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.