3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,235 sqft ·
Built 1924
· Townhouse
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$382
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$347/mo
Annual
$4,170/yr
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.69%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$20,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $73k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($504 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#742 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
Minersville Area SD (town): math 21% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #420 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $8k; list at $73k implies a 811% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 8.0% in Minersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HAQPZBA8F662H6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29