1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
430 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,082/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$171/mo
Annual
$2,046/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#166 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Russell County (rural): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #67 of 165 in KY (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Salem Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #255 of 676 statewide, top 42%, 395 students, 67% FRL); Russell County Middle School (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #71 of 217 statewide, top 33%, 677 students, 69% FRL); Russell County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 832 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP.
Russell County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.0% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of updating
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of updating
Unknown: HVAC system
— not visible
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29