1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,323 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$978/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$155/mo
Annual
$1,859/yr
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.30%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#1,283 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Murphysboro CUSD 186 (town): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #585 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Carruthers Elementary School (math 11% / reading 11%, grade F, #1,460 of 2,056 statewide, top 72%, 406 students, 0% FRL); Murphysboro Middle School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 444 students, 0% FRL); Murphysboro High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 598 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HBJFY8ATPRG2ZH
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29