5 bd · 0.5 ba ·
1,563 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,760/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$-63/mo
Annual
$-762/yr
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.24%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-762/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (5.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (20.0% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ridgecrest Elementary School (math 8% / reading 35%, grade F, #450 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 511 students, 85% FRL); Columbia High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 954 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 46% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntsville City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,760/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 1750% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HC63SHFWEQW810
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29