3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,258/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$584
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$684
Net cashflow
$285/mo
Annual
$3,424/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.76%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#33 in CT, #2,238 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, housing C-, cost of living F.
Madison School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #10 of 153 in CT (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.4% in Madison Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HC74ABB8NQ3Y3G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29