3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,863 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,427/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$510
Net cashflow
$-429/mo
Annual
$-5,144/yr
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.65%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$90,999
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-429 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (12.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (19.1% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $243k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#39 in GA, #4,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Magill Elementary School (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #728 of 1,228 statewide, top 60%, 1,274 students, 72% FRL); Grace Snell Middle School (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 1,268 students, 72% FRL); South Gwinnett High School (math 14% / reading 8%, grade F, #347 of 424 statewide, top 82%, 2,677 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 47% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 847 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HCPQAYAGT4F7AA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29