2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
988 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 228 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,727
Tax + insurance
−$3,286
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,286
Net cashflow
$-14,174/mo
Annual
$-170,090/yr
Cap rate
0.79%
Cash-on-cash
-19.65%
DSCR
0.13
1% rule
0.20%
Cash to close
$839,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $3.00M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14k ($-170k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-7k/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $495k (83.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $612k (79.6% below list).
It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $495k (83.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $21k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $90k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#541 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 526 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.80M; list at $3.00M implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 0.8% vs local median 3.8% in Sanibel — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 83% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HCY27KDV8QVJ6H
· Data 18 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29