2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,322 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$326
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$390
Net cashflow
$-300/mo
Annual
$-3,600/yr
Cap rate
4.98%
Cash-on-cash
-4.68%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$76,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (19.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (32.4% below list).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.8% in Martinsburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29