3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,664/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$854/yr
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.69%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($854/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (7.5% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#138 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Maine Consolidated School District (4199) (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #139 of 501 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Maine Consolidated School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #438 of 1,109 statewide, top 41%, 137 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $180k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HDE2FK4HR3B482
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29