4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,160 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,176/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$418/mo
Annual
$5,011/yr
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.37%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#336 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Eldora-New Providence Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #217 of 289 in IA (top 75%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $47k; list at $80k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29