4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,432 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Active
· 391 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,682/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,583
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$307/mo
Annual
$3,682/yr
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.36%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$84,532
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $302k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (11.1% below list).
It's been on market 391 days — a 12% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $266k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#381 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
Rogers School District (urban): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #31 of 238 in AR (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #143 of 454 statewide, top 36%, 106 students, 68% FRL); Lingle Middle School (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #49 of 201 statewide, top 26%, 766 students, 56% FRL); Rogers Heritage High School (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #138 of 292 statewide, top 48%, 2,080 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $93k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $302k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $85k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 391 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HDZJYJ4BQ3WAXZ
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29