5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,889 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$414
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$548
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-377/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$89,600
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-377/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (18.5% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $261k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#42 in WI, #941 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Hudson School District (town): math 56% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #25 of 342 in WI (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Willow River Elementary (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #127 of 1,041 statewide, top 14%, 314 students, 16% FRL); Hudson Middle (math 45% / reading 55%, grade C, #55 of 383 statewide, top 14%, 1,133 students, 15% FRL); Hudson High (math 44% / reading 49%, grade D-, #55 of 483 statewide, top 11%, 1,783 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 411 units permitted in St. Croix County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Croix County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $220k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.1% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HE1Z44FK9YESMM
· Data 8 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29