1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,631/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$884
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$124/mo
Annual
$1,491/yr
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.16%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$47,180
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $168k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#69 in MD, #2,499 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living D-.
Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 673 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $130k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in West Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HEBNEC4SPJ1WAW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29