2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,563/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$614
Tax + insurance
−$226
HOA
−$253
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$143/mo
Annual
$1,711/yr
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.22%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$32,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $117k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#635 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $117k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Lynwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HEGJ4D2T72JFJ2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29