2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,205 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 506 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,211/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$663
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$83/mo
Annual
$990/yr
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.80%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$35,420
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($990/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (4.3% below list).
It's been on market 506 days — a 12% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($875 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#402 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 1.6% in Grand Isle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 506 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HEHN0W4V1RYV7F
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29