3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,590 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Townhouse
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,284/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$841
HOA
−$947
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,110
Net cashflow
$-498/mo
Annual
$-5,973/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.55%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$154,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $462k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $528k (3.9% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($517k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $462k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ojus Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 776 students, 63% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $102k; list at $550k implies a 439% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,284/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HF16HGCP57SCHK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29