2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,213 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 441 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,671/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$690
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$771
Net cashflow
$474/mo
Annual
$5,691/yr
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.31%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 441 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $117k; list at $249k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,671/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 441 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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