4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,525 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$626
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$819
Net cashflow
$-298/mo
Annual
$-3,575/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.43%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$146,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-298 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $472k (10.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $390k (25.7% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($509k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $390k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#21 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Red Clay Consolidated School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #12 of 26 in DE (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Star Elementary School (math 74% / reading 84%, grade A, #1 of 105 statewide, top 0%, 610 students, 0% FRL); Dupont (H.B.) Middle School (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D, #4 of 36 statewide, top 11%, 754 students, 0% FRL); Dupont (Alexis I.) High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #18 of 40 statewide, top 49%, 680 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Red Clay Consolidated School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $139k; list at $525k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in Hockessin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HFM5T6A7Z0CKFB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29