2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,060 sqft ·
Built 2006
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,120/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,194
Tax + insurance
−$1,015
HOA
−$945
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,705
Net cashflow
$1,261/mo
Annual
$15,134/yr
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.88%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$170,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $609k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $609k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($600k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $600k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
White Plains City School District (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #313 of 590 in NY (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: White Plains Middle School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 1,517 students, 50% FRL); White Plains Senior High School (math 89% / reading 67%, grade A-, #577 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 2,220 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $510k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $171k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.3% in White Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,120/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($149k/yr) (locally 581% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HFWGXCCJT73CM2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29