3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Condo
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,698/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$625
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,197
Net cashflow
$1,910/mo
Annual
$22,918/yr
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.83%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $375k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $375k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $341k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 73 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,698/mo this rent would consume 172% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 4110% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen appliances
— Aesthetically worn but functional.
Minor: Bathtub and fixtures
— Aesthetically worn but functional.
Major: Roof
— Signs of aging and wear.
Major: Exterior walls
— Signs of wear and discoloration.
Major: Flooring
— Worn and uneven.
Major: Paint
— Chipped and uneven in some areas.
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29