2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
707 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,040/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,143
Tax + insurance
−$1,317
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$848
Net cashflow
$-2,268/mo
Annual
$-27,222/yr
Cap rate
2.85%
Cash-on-cash
-12.30%
DSCR
0.45
1% rule
0.51%
Cash to close
$221,232
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $600k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-27k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $462k (23.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $404k (32.7% below list).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $404k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 198 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,040/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 1338% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HGPBYS94T28VK5
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29