2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
707 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 187 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,048
Tax + insurance
−$1,287
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$792
Net cashflow
$-2,356/mo
Annual
$-28,270/yr
Cap rate
2.63%
Cash-on-cash
-13.08%
DSCR
0.42
1% rule
0.49%
Cash to close
$216,136
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $600k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $431k (28.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $377k (37.2% below list).
It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $377k (37.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Royal Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #122 of 183 statewide, top 71%, 325 students, 65% FRL); Princess Ruth Keelikolani Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #42 of 42 statewide, top 100%, 324 students, 69% FRL); President William Mckinley High School (math 28% / reading 69%, grade D, #13 of 43 statewide, top 33%, 1,502 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 39% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 231 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 2.6% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,771/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HGPBYS94T28VK5
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29