3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,730 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,002
Tax + insurance
−$954
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$680
Net cashflow
$-1,397/mo
Annual
$-16,767/yr
Cap rate
3.36%
Cash-on-cash
-10.46%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$160,297
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $572k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $370k (35.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (43.4% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($555k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $324k (43.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $61k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $57k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#212 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Elk Grove Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #165 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$98k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HH7QM56F5P8MTR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29