2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,250
Tax + insurance
−$715
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$758
Net cashflow
$-114/mo
Annual
$-1,364/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$120,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $429k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $413k (3.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $361k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $361k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Mamaroneck Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #47 of 590 in NY (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Central School (math 78% / reading 78%, grade A, #239 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 513 students, 14% FRL); Hommocks School (math 65% / reading 79%, grade A, #76 of 729 statewide, top 11%, 1,258 students, 20% FRL); Mamaroneck High School (math 95% / reading 91%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,660 students, 23% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; list at $429k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HHQ5ZPFYBKSV2T
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29