4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,551 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,710/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$359
Net cashflow
$273/mo
Annual
$3,278/yr
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.36%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#158 in MI, #4,063 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Hillsdale Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #348 of 540 in MI (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gier Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #923 of 1,397 statewide, top 69%, 454 students, 60% FRL); Davis Middle School (math 25% / reading 41%, grade F, #306 of 493 statewide, top 63%, 359 students, 52% FRL); Hillsdale High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 400 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Hillsdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsdale County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $159k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.7% in Hillsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HJ82789YC3K27J
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29