2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 304 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$882/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$52
Tax + insurance
−$13
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$632/mo
Annual
$7,579/yr
Cap rate
82.09%
Cash-on-cash
270.70%
DSCR
13.04
1% rule
8.82%
Cash to close
$2,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#35 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Pingree-Buchanan 10 (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #85 of 169 in ND (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pingree-Buchanan Elementary School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #19 of 236 statewide, top 13%, 98 students, 26% FRL); Pingree-Buchanan High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #77 of 144 statewide, top 57%, 70 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Stutsman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stutsman County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 82.1% vs local median 3.2% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HJJBJN0BT5RBD6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29