3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,328/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$279
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-389/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.93%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-389/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (3.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (10.9% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $160 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-870 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: North Bridge El (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,180 of 4,322 statewide, top 97%, 692 students, 92% FRL); Armando Cuellar Middle (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 626 students, 88% FRL); Weslaco H S (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 2,553 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 59% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 711 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.1% in Weslaco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HJQA6M426VXW30
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29