4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,409 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Land
· Under Contract
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,089
Tax + insurance
−$509
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$433
Net cashflow
$-971/mo
Annual
$-11,653/yr
Cap rate
3.37%
Cash-on-cash
-10.45%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$111,552
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $398k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-971 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (43.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (48.3% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $206k (48.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#17 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Elgin (rural): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #38 of 270 in OK (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 5.1% in Elgin — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HJR0PBCX2JK6TT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29