813 Cornflower Ln

Madison, OH 44057

$219,000D-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Built 1999 · Condo · Under Contract · 1 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,754/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,148
• Tax + insurance: −$316
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$368
• Net cashflow: $-79/mo
• Annual: $-951/yr
• Cap rate: 5.86%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.55%
• DSCR: 0.93
• 1% rule: 0.80%
• Cash to close: $61,320

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $219k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-951/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (6.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (19.9% below list).
• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $175k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in OH, #3,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Madison Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #308 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: South Elementary School (math 65% / reading 58%, grade B, #646 of 1,584 statewide, top 41%, 564 students, 34% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 52% / reading 58%, grade B-, #335 of 654 statewide, top 52%, 609 students, 36% FRL); Madison High School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 860 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $104k; list at $219k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.