3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Land
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,606/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$440/mo
Annual
$5,276/yr
Cap rate
10.69%
Cash-on-cash
15.70%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Harrison School District No. 2 In The County Of El Paso An (urban): math 16% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #67 of 86 in CO (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Soaring Eagles Elementary School (math 17% / reading 62%, grade F, #357 of 966 statewide, top 40%, 611 students, 51% FRL); Atlas Preparatory Middle School (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 270 statewide, top 87%, 484 students, 97% FRL, charter); Sierra High School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #264 of 381 statewide, top 69%, 908 students, 54% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
17 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HKKDP6B1H234X5
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29