3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,746 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 320 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,336/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$508
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,994/yr
Cap rate
46.74%
Cash-on-cash
144.47%
DSCR
7.43
1% rule
5.34%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#327 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Miami (town): math 17% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #194 of 270 in OK (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Roosevelt Es (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #213 of 845 statewide, top 28%, 252 students, 0% FRL); Miami Hs (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #314 of 447 statewide, top 72%, 438 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $25k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 46.7% vs local median 5.2% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-HKW6ZS9VDF96SB
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29