4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,527 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,405/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$-334/mo
Annual
$-4,008/yr
Cap rate
4.62%
Cash-on-cash
-5.96%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-334 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (24.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (41.5% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (41.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#704 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools D-.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HM4TZN031DGAJZ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29