3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,804 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Townhouse
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,913/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$915
Tax + insurance
−$291
HOA
−$375
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$402
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-838/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.71%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$48,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $174k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-838/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (5.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Windsor Park G/T (math 85% / reading 90%, grade A+, #6 of 4,322 statewide, top 0%, 609 students, 29% FRL); Adkins Middle (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 956 students, 48% FRL); Carroll H S (math 33% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 1,851 students, 68% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Corpus Christi ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: landscaping
— some dead plants need trimming
Minor: paint
— neutral paint could be refreshed
CashFlowRE · CFR-HMEZBN9FR61EK6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29