2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,390/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$465
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$502
Net cashflow
$1,046/mo
Annual
$12,551/yr
Cap rate
35.96%
Cash-on-cash
105.94%
DSCR
5.71
1% rule
5.31%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Port Clinton City (town): math 55% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #342 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bataan Memorial Primary School (352 students, 79% FRL); Port Clinton Middle School (math 59% / reading 64%, grade B+, #248 of 654 statewide, top 38%, 350 students, 45% FRL); Port Clinton High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #390 of 781 statewide, top 54%, 509 students, 38% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 36.0% vs local median 2.4% in Port Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29