69850 Hwy 111 #13

Rancho Mirage, CA 92270

$225,000D+

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · Built 1957 · Condo · Active · 167 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,177/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax + insurance: −$375
• HOA: −$1,114
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$667
• Net cashflow: $-159/mo
• Annual: $-1,912/yr
• Cap rate: 5.44%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.03%
• DSCR: 0.86
• 1% rule: 1.41%
• Cash to close: $63,000

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (10.2% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
• It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,065 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Rancho Mirage Elementary (309 students, 86% FRL); Nellie N. Coffman Middle (953 students, 98% FRL); Rancho Mirage High (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #804 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 1,491 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 73% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 600 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Rancho Mirage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?