3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,523 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,132/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-435/yr
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.04%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-435/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (9.5% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Winterboro High School (math 4% / reading 29%, grade F, #209 of 305 statewide, top 69%, 361 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 64% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Talladega County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $102k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-HMSWZ19488GCR1
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29