1 bd · None ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,146
Tax + insurance
−$1,000
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,797
Net cashflow
$2,613/mo
Annual
$31,362/yr
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.67%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$167,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $600k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $600k).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($546k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $546k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#248 in NY, #3,907 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Waterville Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #422 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Memorial Park Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 396 students, 51% FRL); Waterville Jr/Sr High School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #974 of 1,100 statewide, top 91%, 312 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 35% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: siding
— The siding is weathered and may need repainting.
Minor: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HN1R1G5GJX7929
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29